How the Plan Works

Tax & platform
economics.

One simple idea funds the whole plan: a 2% levy on Washington's fast-growing AI economy, not on working families. Here's the math behind eliminating state taxes for the middle class, funding our schools, halving STEM tuition, and still leaving billions for local priorities.

2%
levy on AI compute, data-center power & AI services, the part of the economy growing fastest
$0
net state tax burden for households under $125K, no new taxes on working families
$2B+
annual surplus left over for reserves, infrastructure & local priorities
Jeff Lyon
A note from Jeff

The math works, because of the incredible rate of growth in how businesses and industries use AI.

I know a lot of people feel uneasy about how quickly AI is changing things, and that's understandable. But the upside is enormous: we can use a small share of that growth to do big things for people.

A straightforward 2% levy on AI lets us deliver zero state tax burden for families under $125K, a permanent $2 billion boost to K–12 schools, and tuition cut in half for high-demand STEM programs, while leaving a strong surplus each year.

This is how we make AI's progress work for families and make sure no one is left behind, without raising taxes on working people.

The Source · A 2% AI Innovation Levy

Tax the AI economy, not your paycheck.

The levy applies to three measurable dimensions of AI, the value and energy it consumes, collected from providers, never from households.

BASE 01
Data-center power

The electricity AI facilities consume: the easiest base to measure, billed straight through the utility.

BASE 02
AI compute

The processing behind every model: tokens, GPU-hours and API usage, reported by providers.

BASE 03
AI-integrated services

Paid software & SaaS with meaningful AI built in: the broadest, fastest-growing base.

Designed to be pro-innovation: exemptions for R&D and green-powered compute, credits to avoid double-taxation, and lighter treatment for small innovators. It grows with AI adoption and never shrinks the household tax base.

The Balance · By Year 7 (2033)

Revenue covers the plan, with room to spare.

Revenue in
$9.5–11B+

generated annually by the 2% levy at steady state, as AI adoption scales across the economy.

Plan cost out
~$7.9B

to fund every promise in the platform, in full, each year.

Surplus
$2B+

left over every year for reserves, infrastructure, and local priorities.

Where the ~$7.9B goes

The annual cost of delivering the platform, broken down.

$5.5B
Eliminate state taxes

Zero net state tax burden for households under $125K, through income-verified rebates and credits.

$2B
Fund our schools

A permanent K–12 increase, roughly an 11–12% boost over current state appropriations, for smaller classes, teacher pay, and STEM pipelines.

$0.4B
Cut STEM tuition in half

Backfills that halve in-state tuition for high-demand STEM fields leading to high-paying careers.

Responsible Growth · Clean by Design

Powered by Washington's clean energy.

The AI economy we're taxing can also be among the cleanest in the country, if we build it right. Washington is uniquely positioned to do exactly that, and the growth pays for itself in jobs.

Closed-loop water, not drained rivers

Modern AI facilities recycle cooling water in a sealed loop, cutting ongoing water use by roughly 90%. The newest designs are filled once, then use about as much water per year as a single restaurant.

The nation's cleanest grid

Washington generates the majority of its electricity from carbon-free hydropower. Compute that runs here runs cleaner than almost anywhere else on Earth, a natural home for responsible AI.

Back advanced nuclear, protect the salmon

Meeting AI's energy demand shouldn't mean new dams. Supporting next-generation nuclear adds firm, carbon-free power while protecting salmon runs and river habitat that define the Pacific Northwest.

Jobs, direct and indirect

The tech economy already supports tens of thousands of Washington jobs, in construction, operations, and engineering, plus a wide multiplier of indirect work for trades, suppliers, and local services.

One restaurant
One AI data center

A closed-loop facility's yearly water use can be roughly the same as a single neighborhood restaurant's.

~$6.8B
in annual economic impact from WA data centers today, before AI's full build-out
~48K
direct and indirect Washington jobs supported by the sector
~$1.9B
in state & local tax revenue they already contribute each year
Protecting Work · A Fairer Tax Base

Tax the machines. Make room for people.

A lot of people are worried AI will replace their jobs, and not everyone wants to work in tech. They shouldn't have to. This plan is built to keep traditional work viable and valued.

Here's the key insight: moving the tax base onto AI changes the math for employers. Today, Washington taxes consumption and business activity heavily. Working families pay an estimated 9 to 14% of their income in state and local taxes, one of the most regressive systems in the country. Hiring a person and selling to a customer both get taxed; automating does not.

Flip that.

When AI compute and services carry the new levy, and families under $125K owe zero state tax, human labor becomes relatively cheaper, traditional businesses face lower costs, and local demand rises because families keep more of every paycheck.

What gets taxed
Hiring people, no new state tax for putting Washingtonians to work
Family spending, zero net state tax burden under $125K
AI compute & services: the new, growing base carries the load

The result: automation pays its share, while the cost of employing a human is never penalized by the state.

Opportunity · The Next Generation of Work

Educating for the careers of the next decade.

The same AI revenue that cuts STEM tuition in half builds the pipeline into the highest-paying, most meaningful fields of the coming decade, right here in Washington.

Software & AI

Building and applying the models reshaping every industry.

Robotics

Advanced manufacturing and automation that keeps making here.

Quantum computing

A new kind of machine, with breakthroughs aimed squarely at medicine.

Biotech & longevity

Where AI and quantum converge to help people live healthier, longer lives.

The quantum horizon

Viable quantum computing is no longer science fiction.

In December 2024, Google's Willow chip proved a critical milestone: error rates can fall as a quantum machine scales up, the breakthrough the field had chased for decades. National efforts now target a first fault-tolerant quantum computer as early as 2028, with broadly useful machines expected in the late 2020s to early 2030s.

Why it matters for people

AI + quantum, pointed at human health.

Together, AI and quantum can model molecules and proteins directly, compressing years of drug discovery into months, accelerating new treatments, diagnostics, and materials. Within our lifetimes, this is how we help Washingtonians live healthier and longer, and Washington's students should be the ones building it.

The Engine · Anchor Innovation Here

Land one foundational AI company in Washington.

Recruiting a single major AI platform company to build here would anchor an entire ecosystem. It sets off a virtuous cycle: the more innovation we attract, the more we can invest in people, and the more we invest in people, the more innovation we attract.

The virtuous cycle
01
Anchor a platform company

A foundational AI builder makes Washington home.

02
Talent & suppliers cluster

Engineers, startups, and vendors gather around it.

03
Investment & tax base grow

More activity means more AI revenue to work with.

04
Fund schools & relief

Revenue pays for tax relief, education, and tuition.

05 ↻
A stronger workforce

Better-educated talent attracts the next company, and the cycle repeats.

Each turn of the cycle makes the next one bigger.
~5×
local jobs created for every high-tech job, per economist Enrico Moretti's research, the largest multiplier of any industry
Anchor
tenants draw suppliers, startups, and university partnerships into a self-reinforcing cluster
Compounding
a growing base means the 2% levy funds more every year, without raising the rate
The Assumptions · Grounded, Not Wishful

Built on realistic AI growth.

The model assumes strong-but-realistic year-over-year growth, highest in the early years, tapering as the market matures. Our assumptions sit at or below independent real-world forecasts.

Category Real-world forecasts Our assumption
Data-center electricity ~12–15% CAGR (global, AI-driven higher) 15–25% YoY
AI compute (tokens / GPU-hours) 17–43%+; capacity historically doubling fast 40–60% → 25–35%
AI services / SaaS ~21–38% CAGR (AIaaS & gen-AI software) 30–45% → 20–30%

Early-year growth is strongest, then tapers as adoption matures, the standard shape of a technology boom. If real-world growth runs higher (as it often has in AI's early phase), the surplus only grows.

The Ramp-Up · Year 1 → Year 7 (2027–2033)

Relief scales up as the revenue does.

The levy starts modest and grows with AI adoption. Each program phases in alongside it, tax relief deepens, school funding builds, and STEM backfills ramp, so every promise is fully funded each year and the budget never runs a deficit to get there. By Year 7 the plan reaches its full steady state.

Tax relief Schools STEM tuition Surplus Full bar = annual revenue ($B) · illustrative phase-in
$5B
$10B
Yr 1
$2.0B
Yr 2
$3.2B
Yr 3
$4.7B
Yr 4
$6.2B
Yr 5
$7.7B
Yr 6
$9.0B
Yr 7
$10.2B
Annual funding · Year 1 → Year 7
Eliminate state taxes
$0.8B$5.5B

Net state tax burden under $125K phased to zero as the base grows.

Fund our schools
$0.6B$2.0B

Builds to a permanent K–12 increase of roughly 11–12%.

Cut STEM tuition
$0.1B$0.4B

Reaches half-off in-state tuition for high-demand STEM fields.

Year Revenue Tax relief Schools STEM Surplus
Year 1$2.0B$0.8B$0.6B$0.1B$0.5B
Year 2$3.2B$1.6B$0.9B$0.2B$0.5B
Year 3$4.7B$2.6B$1.2B$0.3B$0.6B
Year 4$6.2B$3.6B$1.5B$0.4B$0.7B
Year 5$7.7B$4.4B$1.7B$0.4B$1.2B
Year 6$9.0B$5.0B$1.9B$0.4B$1.7B
Year 7$10.2B$5.5B$2.0B$0.4B$2.3B

An illustrative phase-in consistent with the growth assumptions above. Revenue stays ahead of spending in every year, so relief and investment reach full strength without ever running a deficit, and the surplus widens as AI adoption matures.

“Does the math add up?”

Yes, and here's why.

Phased, not all-at-once

Both revenue and benefits phase in together. The levy starts modest to avoid chilling investment; relief scales up as the revenue base grows, so the budget never runs a deficit to get there.

Targeted, not a budget backfill

This funds three specific priorities, not Washington's entire ~$70–80B biennial budget. The ~$7.9B is incremental relief and investment, designed to be matched by a new, growing revenue source.

Reviewed every year

Annual fiscal reviews adjust as real data comes in. If growth outpaces the model, the surplus grows or rates ease; if it lags, the base broadens or phase-in slows. The plan adapts.

Claims that “the math doesn't add up” overlook AI's trajectory and Washington's outsized place in it. Conservative assumptions already get there, and faster growth only widens the surplus.

Stretch Goal The Long-Term Vision

From tax relief to a citizen's dividend.

If AI revenue grows the way the evidence suggests, Washington won't just be able to eliminate state taxes for families under $125K. Over time, it could move toward eliminating remaining human taxation entirely and paying a recurring dividend directly to residents, funded by the productivity of machines.

Andrew Yang was right, and ahead of his time.

In 2020, Yang built a national campaign around a $1,000-a-month "Freedom Dividend," arguing that automation would reshape work and that we should share the gains directly with people. The idea was treated as fringe. Since then, the explosive growth of AI, with the people building it, has made it look prescient.

The gains to share

PwC's landmark study finds AI could add $15.7 trillion to the global economy by 2030, more than the current output of China and India combined. That machine-made surge is exactly the prosperity Yang argued we should share.

See the projection
The automation Yang foresaw

It's arriving fast: the IMF estimates AI now exposes ~40% of jobs worldwide, up to 60% in advanced economies, and urges leaders to make sure the gains reach people, not just capital.

Read the IMF analysis
AI's builders agree

OpenAI's Sam Altman argues that as AI drives the cost of goods toward zero, its soaring productivity should fund a recurring dividend to every citizen, Yang's idea, paid for by machines, not working people.

Read ‘Moore’s Law for Everything’

This is a long-term aspiration, not part of the funded near-term plan above. It would depend on sustained AI growth and careful design, with the same annual fiscal discipline. But the direction is clear: as machines do more, the people of Washington should share in the prosperity.

Prosperity, Shared

Turning AI's growth into real relief.

Zero state taxes for families under $125K. Stronger schools. Affordable STEM degrees. A surplus for our future, funded by the fastest-growing part of our economy, not by working families.

Figures are illustrative order-of-magnitude projections based on public economic and AI-market data, designed to phase in over 2027–2033. Final amounts would be set by legislation and refined through official fiscal notes and annual review.